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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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doug schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h.w. bush administration. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >> reporter: so the polls and models call it a toss-up. but curiously, the betting public tells a very different story. online betting prediction markets, like ireland's intrade, which takes bets from americans, and england's betfair, which doesnt, have made obama the strong favorite for months. the lone domestic and entirely legal betting haven, the iowa electronic markets at the university of iowa. ever frugal, we asked hari srinivasan, our man in the midwest-- at least last week-- re iowa electronic market?is he entire iowa electronic market? >> thiss rvk iser er room right here. he eeirnivasan: nt tse prediction marke
doug schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h.w. bush administration. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >>...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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some movement and romney will get a bump. whether he'll get one in ohio is a good question he's got to keep that momentum going. >> briefly, james. >> i think he'll get a bump, but i think the most important outcome for the debate for romney, is that he energized the party and they believe they can win again and i think that's an even more significant accomplishment in the short run than a bump in the polls. >> jason, thanks. >> one debate down and three more to go, believe it or not. the vice-presidential candidates get their turn next week in kentucky. can paul ryan keep the republican momentum going in his face-off with joe biden? >> skrooip vice-presidential candidates joe biden get their chance when the two square off in kentucky in the one and only debate. and jason, let's first talk about, i guess it's been six weeks or so since the paul ryan selection. how well has he done on the ticket and added to the romney campaign? >> well, i think he's helped to energize republicans and i think he's helped romney and turned out
some movement and romney will get a bump. whether he'll get one in ohio is a good question he's got to keep that momentum going. >> briefly, james. >> i think he'll get a bump, but i think the most important outcome for the debate for romney, is that he energized the party and they believe they can win again and i think that's an even more significant accomplishment in the short run than a bump in the polls. >> jason, thanks. >> one debate down and three more to go,...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see, you know, two more debates, we're going to see more speeches, may see oscar the grouch get involved, who knows. but so, you know, plenty of time. if mitt romney, you know, could survive three bad weeks after the 47% video, the president can survive a bad debate performance and after the next one, whatever happened in the first time, won't matter. he may not -- he may do worse, may do better but won't matter anymore after the next two debates. >> also, to your point about graphs there is a an interesting graph in t"the new york times" when incumbents win and
. >> i hear the polls have romney up by 67 points today. i think hysteria is a good word and i like andrew sullivan as much as the next conservative -- not conservative pundit he claims to be. i do think -- you know, in politics you can never extrap plate from a given point. everything is trend lines one way or the other direction. that was a bad night for the president and anybody who wants him to win. but it's not the last point we're going to see on the graph here. we're going to see,...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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the gallup polls pre- and post- debate show romney going from 5 percent behind to a dead heat. it is even bigger, a george washington university poll shows a 12 percentage point twinge with romney leading. there is a change in the dynamism that republicans feel. the republicans are more enjoyed. >>eric: and predebate, governor romney was at 45 percent and president obama was at 50 percent, a five-point lead by the president. post debate, october 4-6, that was 47 percent to 47 percent. that is a big swing. that is a gallup poll. that is a big move, isn't it? >>guest: that is a significant move. as i pensioned, among likely voters it has shifted more because one of the things that happened in campaigns and especially in the battleground states where you have even balanced between republicans and democrats, the key thing is to get your marginal supporters to vote, the lessize logical republicans and democrats. we have seen in this battleground poll among the body rat democrats a 12 percentage point drop in those who said they are extremely likely to vote in the past week. they hav
the gallup polls pre- and post- debate show romney going from 5 percent behind to a dead heat. it is even bigger, a george washington university poll shows a 12 percentage point twinge with romney leading. there is a change in the dynamism that republicans feel. the republicans are more enjoyed. >>eric: and predebate, governor romney was at 45 percent and president obama was at 50 percent, a five-point lead by the president. post debate, october 4-6, that was 47 percent to 47 percent....
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. >> 18 point swing in one poll is huge. >> if we were to see that number confirmed by other poll, romney would be the favorite but it's not what we're seeing in the bulk of data. sometimes there can be a tendency to take a big headline number, when we're getting 15 or 20 polls released. if romney is doing that well among women, we will see the result confirmed by other polls quite soon. >> his people also believe that he did well from the debate independents, men, the elderly in particular. that's what their own internal polling is showing. would you agree with that? >> in the debate he was able to reposition himself toward the center of the electorate. last time we talked about, this is something very strange where romney has been playing to the base, even to some extent at his convention, he was doing that. but he shifted towards the center and obama was a little bit feeble in trying to rebut that. that's an important factor. historically candidates who can appear to be in the middle of the electorate tend to win and those on the wings tend to lose. that was a big strategic gain romney
. >> 18 point swing in one poll is huge. >> if we were to see that number confirmed by other poll, romney would be the favorite but it's not what we're seeing in the bulk of data. sometimes there can be a tendency to take a big headline number, when we're getting 15 or 20 polls released. if romney is doing that well among women, we will see the result confirmed by other polls quite soon. >> his people also believe that he did well from the debate independents, men, the elderly...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing states, president obama is leading almost every one of them albeit by a reduced margin. these are numbers just from the last states. let's put them through the spin cycle. guys, all of this raises an interesting possibility that i have resisted and that political science tells us shouldn't be happening. political science says generally speaking if there's movement nationally, there will be similar movement in the swing states. if there's movement in swing states will be mirrored in other states. mitt romney has not pulled ahead in swing states. look at a state like ohio, virginia, iowa, new hampshire,
now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing...
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Oct 14, 2012
10/12
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what do we expect from the obama/mitt romney rematch . the look at romney poll's surge. will the liar, liar strategy work? and congratulational hearing on libya shed new light on what happened in the attack on benghazi and raise new questions about the administration's response. welcome to the journal editorial report. i am paul gigot. all eyes were on the vice-presidential district attorney bait. the two spared over everything from iran and medicare reform and middle class taxes. >> the middle class got knocked on their heels and the great recession crushed them and they need help now. the last people who need help is 120,000 families for another 500 billion dollar tax cut over the next 10 years. >> there are not enough rich people and small businesses to tax to pay for the pending. next time you hear them say don't worry about. we'll get the wealthy people to pay their fair share watch out, the tax bill is coming to you. >> with us is dan, and collumist bill, and jason riley and washington columist kim strassel. >> he was doing what he was asked to do which is to energ
what do we expect from the obama/mitt romney rematch . the look at romney poll's surge. will the liar, liar strategy work? and congratulational hearing on libya shed new light on what happened in the attack on benghazi and raise new questions about the administration's response. welcome to the journal editorial report. i am paul gigot. all eyes were on the vice-presidential district attorney bait. the two spared over everything from iran and medicare reform and middle class taxes. >> the...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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here's to back it up, a tampa bay times/miami herald poll, a bigger romney lead. clearly, romney momentum. the obama campaign says it's not that big in florida but he's pulling up into at least a tie, maybe slightly ahead. that's not all. let's start out in the west. look at battleground state polls out here since the first debate. nevada on your left, colorado on your right. a dead heat in nevada, dead heat in colorado. romney's been doing well in the west holding his own. he's boosted his standing a bit since the first debate in the two battlegrounds out there. come over to the heartland, in the state of ohio, you see here, again, he was down a lot in wisconsin before the first presidential debate. that's paul ryan's home state. he's pulled into a statistical tie. this one's a bit more troublesome for the romney campaign. they are closer in ohio than before the first debate but still behind. the president has kept a small but steady lead in the state of ohio. that one's a bit of a problem for romney but he's at least closer from before the debate. after the deba
here's to back it up, a tampa bay times/miami herald poll, a bigger romney lead. clearly, romney momentum. the obama campaign says it's not that big in florida but he's pulling up into at least a tie, maybe slightly ahead. that's not all. let's start out in the west. look at battleground state polls out here since the first debate. nevada on your left, colorado on your right. a dead heat in nevada, dead heat in colorado. romney's been doing well in the west holding his own. he's boosted his...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performances, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. there's big news. presenting androgel 1.62%. both are used to treat men with low testosterone. androgel 1.62% is from the makers of the number one prescribed testosterone replacement therapy. it raises your testosterone levels, and... is concentrated, so you could use less gel. and with androgel 1.62%, you can save on your monthly prescription. [ male announcer ] dosing and application sites between these products differ. women and children should avoid contact with application sites. discontinue androgel and call your doctor if you see unexpected signs of early puberty in a child, or, signs in a woman which may include changes in body hair or a large increase in acne, possibly due to accidental exposure. men with breast cancer or who have or might have prostate cancer, and women who are, or may become pregnant o
before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performances, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. there's big news. presenting androgel 1.62%. both are used to treat men with low testosterone. androgel 1.62% is from the makers of the number one prescribed testosterone replacement therapy. it raises your...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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new polls have said romney is enjoying a post debate bounce. the average of national polls this week put him in the lead for the first time. with the run can candidate also gaining ground among key voting groups and in some important swing states. is the surge real and what can mitt romney do to sustain it? for answers we turn to republican pollster witt, ayer. a couple weeks back before the debate when the republicans thought it was over, you were saying, no, this race is a lot closer. where does it stand now? >> thank you, paul. that was a pretty easy call. [laughter] >> today if you look at the effect of the debate, it's pretty significant. i'm talking about the first presidential debate. >> right. >> in the eight polls that were released in the week immediately before the debate, obama had a lead of 3.6 percentage points on average. in the seven polls that had been released so far in the week after the debate, romney has an average lead of 1.3 percentage points. that's a net turnaround of about 5 percentage points, which is very significant
new polls have said romney is enjoying a post debate bounce. the average of national polls this week put him in the lead for the first time. with the run can candidate also gaining ground among key voting groups and in some important swing states. is the surge real and what can mitt romney do to sustain it? for answers we turn to republican pollster witt, ayer. a couple weeks back before the debate when the republicans thought it was over, you were saying, no, this race is a lot closer. where...
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>>> mitt romney's debate performance this past wednesday giving him a bump in the polls. a new reuters poll has him within two points of president obama, frailing him 47% to 45% among likely voters nationwide. that's compared to a six-point gap before the debate. romney's performance in denver game hiv a financial boost. his campaign received $12 million in online donations in the 48 hours after the debate. >>> strict new rules for high school students taking the s.a.t. this year. students will now be requires to submit a photo of themselves swhen they sign up to take the test. and that photo will appear on their test admission ticket and on the test site roster. these new rules come after a cheating scandal on long island. 20 high school students were accused of hiring recent graduates to take the test in their place. >>> still ahead tonight, daniel craig tries his hand at come by. the james bond actor gets ready to host "snl" tonight and you might want to close the windows. it got cold and more of the same on sunday. [ male announcer ] for the dreamers... and those well
>>> mitt romney's debate performance this past wednesday giving him a bump in the polls. a new reuters poll has him within two points of president obama, frailing him 47% to 45% among likely voters nationwide. that's compared to a six-point gap before the debate. romney's performance in denver game hiv a financial boost. his campaign received $12 million in online donations in the 48 hours after the debate. >>> strict new rules for high school students taking the s.a.t. this...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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earlier we talked about the polls and mitt romney on the move. mitt romney spent 90 minutes on the stage lying about everything he claimed to stand for prior to the debate. he lied about his tax plan, he lied about his health care plan, he lied about medicare and medicaid and social security, he lied about deregulation, he lied about jobs, he lied about education. think about this. after campaigning for 18 months on a tax plan for the job creators there that will reduce their taxes 20% on personal income, cut capital gains taxes and business taxes, romney stood on stage with president obama and denied all of that. he told the american people that he really didn't have a plan, which my friends, is completely a 180. after saying it, every campaign stop for 18 months that he would repeal obama care on day one, he stood before the american people and said his plan would take care of preexisting conditions. after the debate, his campaign admitted it would not. romney says his health care plan, which passed in massachusetts, would be good for states. b
earlier we talked about the polls and mitt romney on the move. mitt romney spent 90 minutes on the stage lying about everything he claimed to stand for prior to the debate. he lied about his tax plan, he lied about his health care plan, he lied about medicare and medicaid and social security, he lied about deregulation, he lied about jobs, he lied about education. think about this. after campaigning for 18 months on a tax plan for the job creators there that will reduce their taxes 20% on...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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CNNW
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the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's pleased with the numbers. joining us now, jim acosta with the romney campaign in newport news, virginia and on the phone, dan lothian with president obama's campaign. jim, you're on the trail with the romney campaign. what's the reaction to the latest polling, because republicans were complaining about these polls as soon as last week. now the poll is good news for them. are they complaining? >> well, anderson, i have to tell you i just saw mitt romney standing out in a drenching rain in newport news just a couple hours ago and he still had a smile on his face. they're pretty happy. they
the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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this comes out -- as polls show the race between romney and president obama are in a dead heat. >> a poll taken after last week's debate shows running getting a bounce in the polls. that same gallup poll shows that voters thought overwhelmingly romney won that debate, the biggest debate when ever recorded by gallup. republican presidential candidate mitt romney tipperary break -- took a rare break talking about the economy and slammed the policy in the middle east. >> it is clear the conflict is higher now than when the president took office. >> trying to seize on the president's handling of last month's attack in libya. >> i know the president hopes for a safer freer, and more prosperous middle east, allied with us. i share this hope. but hope is not a strategy. >> the candidate went to an impromptu third stop after 100 middle school kids waved at his motorcade. romney's numbers are up and they appeared to be tied. the president continued his california fund-raising swing which is expected to bring in $10 million over two days. the president attended a dedication to the cesar chavez
this comes out -- as polls show the race between romney and president obama are in a dead heat. >> a poll taken after last week's debate shows running getting a bounce in the polls. that same gallup poll shows that voters thought overwhelmingly romney won that debate, the biggest debate when ever recorded by gallup. republican presidential candidate mitt romney tipperary break -- took a rare break talking about the economy and slammed the policy in the middle east. >> it is clear...
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Oct 7, 2012
10/12
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before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performance, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. 50 let's talk about low-cost investing. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 at schwab, we're committed to offering you tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 low-cost investment options-- tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 like our exchange traded funds, or etfs tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 which now have the lowest tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 operating expenses tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 in their respective tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 lipper categories. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 lower than spdr tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and even lower than vanguard. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 that means with schwab, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 your portfolio has tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 a better chance to grow. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and you can trade all our etfs online, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 commission-free, from your schwab account. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 so let's talk
before mitt romney's well reviewed debate performance, an nbc-wall street journal poll found obama leading romney 51% to 43% among likely ohio voters. can a debate change ohio's democratic drift? the state's attorney general mike dewine and former governor ted strickland are next. 50 let's talk about low-cost investing. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 at schwab, we're committed to offering you tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 low-cost investment options-- tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 like our exchange traded funds, or etfs...
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Oct 13, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line, but ohio is still a problem. >> another factor in all three of these polls, over 90% said the debate made no difference. 6, 7 and 7% respectively who said the debates mattered to their vote. that is, not as helpful to romney as he might have hoped. >> the debate has not as much of an impact. >> sean: i was thinking that if joe biden loses and 25 day, i am thinking that nbc news -- it's a perfect place for an unhinged, over-the-top, extreme leftist. he would be perfect over there. >> chuck todd, the political director of nbc news labeled the rasmussen poll, qu
big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line,...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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. >> a brand-new poll shows governor romney with a 2-point edge over president obama. >> the day after the debate, the ground swell of romney winning was bigger and bigger. i think that will widen. >> obama's been on defense and he is going down in the polls. >> we have polling data now that shows romney ahead, wherever he is ahead, i think hebe he has been ahead for months or weeks. i don't think it happened overnight. they're all saying rom no is surging. >> he was on the stage with the president of the united states. he looked like he was in command. he was in charge of the entire discussion. i think that's the reason the polls are tightening right now. >> i told you three months ago, two months ago and one month ago, if the election were held on taday twould be a landslide romney itch the faces are the facts. we just saw them come to light in the last debate. with no outside b.s., no biased media, no interruptions or negative political ads, and no damn teleprompters. >> the debate is not just... shifting the polls. the debate is creating momentum. >> this business of just going out
. >> a brand-new poll shows governor romney with a 2-point edge over president obama. >> the day after the debate, the ground swell of romney winning was bigger and bigger. i think that will widen. >> obama's been on defense and he is going down in the polls. >> we have polling data now that shows romney ahead, wherever he is ahead, i think hebe he has been ahead for months or weeks. i don't think it happened overnight. they're all saying rom no is surging. >> he...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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looking away, writing notes and thought of his poll numbers dropping back stage. he clearly felt he was too good to be there, but the fact is he demonstrated he can't defend his record and mitt romney showed not only is he a good leader and has executive experience and able to show the president that he has leadership ability, he's likeable, too, and able to show that. >> and there was no passion, governor when he's talking about the economy, the president has no passion, he doesn't understand what he's talking about and he doesn't believe it and saw mitt romney for the first time, a guy who is understands the economy, he looked presidential and people saw for the first time not through the lens of the negative obama tag machine here is a guy ready to lead our countries. >> mike: let me get michael in. you're a speech writer and written for a president. how does mitt romney take this great moment and make sthat he next debate? the expectation are going to be sky high on him and poor or low for obama. >> when you take the hill you've got to hold the hill. we've got
looking away, writing notes and thought of his poll numbers dropping back stage. he clearly felt he was too good to be there, but the fact is he demonstrated he can't defend his record and mitt romney showed not only is he a good leader and has executive experience and able to show the president that he has leadership ability, he's likeable, too, and able to show that. >> and there was no passion, governor when he's talking about the economy, the president has no passion, he doesn't...